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Gold Weekly Forecast: Will We Get a Pullback After XAU/USD’s Surge to Record Highs?

Gold is overbought on a short-term basis, but the long-term returns hint at more room to run higher from here...

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March 9, 2024 02:00 AM
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GBP/USD analysis: Mixed NFP report sends dollar lower – Forex Friday

Friday's US non-farm payrolls report (NFP came in mixed-to-slightly weak when you consider the revisions and wages, causing the dollar to weaken further. The GB/USD could be heading to 1.30 in the week ahead when we have lots of data from both the UK and US to look forward to.

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NFP Preview: Is the US Dollar Poised for a Bounce Back?

After slipping for the past three weeks, the US Dollar Index is testing key previous support at the 103.00 level, potentially setting the stage for a bounce on solid jobs data.

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US dollar analysis: NFP trounces expectations - Forex Friday

NFP trounces expectations at +353K vs. +185K expected. USD/JPY and bond yields jump, gold drops .Light macro events in week ahead.

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EUR/USD holds key support ahead of NFP, US dollar on the ropes

The US dollar was lower across the board after traders digested the latest Fed meeting and are now focusing on four cuts this year, beginning in May. EUR/USD is just one of several pairs to form engulfing days against the US dollar.

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February 1, 2024 10:27 PM
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NFP Preview: Why the US Dollar Could Be More Volatile Than Usual

The recent consolidation in the US Dollar Index and the Fed’s renewed data dependence could lead to a more-volatile-than-usual reaction in the US dollar.

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February 1, 2024 04:02 PM
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Nasdaq reaches new record high, a week ahead of FOMC: The Week Ahead

Love it or loathe it, the rally on US indices has been impressive. Traders seem to be focussed on lower yields, slightly reduced bets of multiple Fed cuts and any other morsel of what can be repackaged as ‘good news’. But can it withstand incoming GDP figures, a PCE inflation report and an FOMC meeting without a wobble?

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January 25, 2024 03:34 AM
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Gold analysis: Metals bounce back as dollar eases on mixed NFP data

Revisions to past NFP data takes shine off headline beat, sending metals higher as the dollar retreats. Gold technical analysis: $2030ish support holds for now, eyes turn to $2075/80 resistance area...

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January 5, 2024 02:45 PM
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EUR/USD analysis: Dollar extends positive 2024 start ahead of NFP – Forex Friday

EUR/USD analysis: Boost from Eurozone PMI offset by drop in German retail sales, as focus turns to US non-farm payrolls report. EUR/USD technical analysis point to short-term weakness, although long-term bull trend still intact.

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January 5, 2024 11:30 AM
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USD/JPY analysis: NFP beats and dollar rebounds ahead of busy week – Forex Friday

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week's edition, we will discuss the US dollar in light of the NFP beat, and ahead of next week's key macro events.

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December 8, 2023 02:20 PM
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NFP Preview: EUR/USD Tests Support as Traders Price in Q1 Fed Cuts

Traders and economists expect the NFP report to show that the US created 185K net new jobs, with average hourly earnings rising 0.3% m/m (4.0% y/y) and the U3 unemployment rate remaining unchanged at 3.9%.

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December 7, 2023 02:23 PM
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US dollar analysis: NFP cements peak Fed rates narrative

Today’s publication of US jobs report has further cemented expectations that the Fed has reach peaked interest rates. Bond yields and the dollar have sold off as a result, with indices and gold moving higher.

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Dollar analysis: NFP puts EUR/USD and AUD/USD in focus - Forex Friday

Welcome to another edition of Forex Friday, a weekly report in which we highlight selected currency themes. In this week’s report we will discuss the dollar’s outlook and how the upcoming data releases could impact the direction of major pairs like the EUR/USD and AUD/USD.

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NFP Preview: EUR/USD Surges to Test 50-day EMA Ahead of Jobs Report

A weaker-than-expected NFP report could accelerate the selling in the US dollar (buying in EUR/USD) for a move up toward the top of the flag pattern above 1.0700.

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November 2, 2023 01:48 PM
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Dollar analysis: Has Dollar Index Peaked? - Forex Friday

It is all about the nonfarm payrolls report and the dollar today. The NFP data will be responsible for the short-term direction of the US dollar and bond yields, before the focus turns to the FOMC meeting minutes and inflation data next week.

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October 6, 2023 12:00 PM
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NFP Preview: EUR/USD Bearish Trend Intact Below 1.0530

EUR/USD remains in a bearish channel with resistance at 1.0530 ahead of NFP

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October 5, 2023 04:54 PM
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NFP Preview: EUR/USD Slips as Traders Eye Slowest Job Growth in 2.5 Years

EUR/USD is trading between resistance near 1.0925 and support around 1.0840 ahead of the key US jobs report...

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August 31, 2023 03:18 PM

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PCE inflation, NFP and ISM manufacturing in focus: The Week Ahead – 25/08/2023

It's the last trading week of August, and it's fair to say that market conditions were more volatile and eventful than this time of year tends to provide. At the time of writing, we're yet to hear what Fed Chair Jerome Powell has to say, but it could certainly set the tone for next week's trade. And there is no shortage of data to kick off September, including US PCE inflation, GDP, and the ISM manufacturing survey. Final PMIs are also published for the US, UK, Europe, Japan, and Australia. And incoming RBA Governor Bullock speaks, and a host of Australian data includes CPI, retail sales, home loans, and capex.

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August 27, 2023 12:13 AM
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USD/CAD outlook: Jobs and inflation in focus

The USD/CAD outlook is going to be influenced by jobs reports from both the US and Canada due out later today.

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August 4, 2023 12:34 PM
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Dollar analysis: Gold and EUR/USD outlook in focus - Nonfarm Payrolls Preview

All eyes will turn to the US jobs report on Friday, as the market refocuses on Fed policy after the Fitch downgrade of US credit rating caused a risk off response in the markets, which sent the dollar and long-dated bond yields surging higher. The US dollar, gold and EUR/USD outlook could be impacted if we see a jobs report that deviates significantly from expectations.

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AUD/USD outlook hurt by strong US data, risk off sentiment - NFP Preview

The AUD/USD outlook has been dealt a double or even triple whammy, as risk appetite turned sharply negative, US data improved further and concerns over China lingered. Will we now see another strong US non-farm payrolls report and further dollar strength? It looks that way, as we will explain in this NFP preview article.

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The Week Ahead: RBA meeting, ISM surveys and Nonfarm payroll in focus

The RBA meet on Tuesday in what could be Governor Lowe’s final meeting, so will he go out with a 25bp bang of fade away with a pause? Employment data for the US includes Nonfarm payrolls, ADP and claims data, and traders also have ISM manufacturing and services reports to look forward to.

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June 30, 2023 05:00 AM
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Nasdaq 100 analysis: Goldilocks NFP takes NDX to 14-month highs

The Nasdaq 100 is at 14-month highs after the headline NFP reading beat expectations for the 15th straight month, coming in at 339K vs. just 193K eyed

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June 2, 2023 06:29 PM