Fed
Stay in step with market opportunities and get insights, actionable trade ideas and dedicated support.
- Newest
- Popular
FOMC Meeting Preview: Deciphering the Dot Dilemma for the Fed
FOMC meeting risks are skewed toward a less dovish outcome, with the potential for the median Fed dot for 2024 to rise to 4.9%, or only two interest rate cuts for 2024.
USD/JPY analysis: BoJ and FOMC Meetings Key Focus in Financial Markets – Currency Pair of the Week
The USD/JPY will face a major test in the week ahead, with both the Bank of Japan and US Federal Reserve set to make monetary policy decisions a day apart. The USD/JPY has managed to recover strongly, rising from around 146.50 to above 149.00 in a few days. The recovery has been driven in part because of a rebound in bond yields a stronger dollar.
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Carves Out a Tight Range Ahead of US PPI and Retail Sales
US data will continue to play a major role for EUR/USD, with PPI and Retail Sales on tap tomorrow. See the key levels to watch!
US CPI Preview: GBP/USD Pulls Back to 1.2800 – Has US Inflation Bottomed?
GBP/USD remains in a bullish technical position ahead of the US CPI report - see what we're watching!
Gold Weekly Forecast: Will We Get a Pullback After XAU/USD’s Surge to Record Highs?
Gold is overbought on a short-term basis, but the long-term returns hint at more room to run higher from here...
NFP Preview: Is the US Dollar Poised for a Bounce Back?
After slipping for the past three weeks, the US Dollar Index is testing key previous support at the 103.00 level, potentially setting the stage for a bounce on solid jobs data.
Interest Rate Shock: What Happens If the Fed Hikes Instead of Cuts?
Traders are pricing in a small, but non-zero, chance of a Fed rate hike in 2024. Those odds could grow with a couple more hotter-than-expected inflation reports.
U.S. Dollar Post-CPI: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, XAU/USD (Gold)
The U.S. Dollar broke out and set another fresh 2024 high this morning as the currency continues to claw back Q4 losses.
AUD/USD bulls battling against stubborn sellers into US CPI
AUD/USD hasn’t had much luck dealing with sellers layered above .6530 recently. 13 attempts on the four-hourly chart in less than a week to no avail, leaving it sandwiched in a tight range between minor uptrend support.
S&P 500, DJIA, Gold: How 40+ Years of Fed Rate Cuts Have Impacted Stock Markets and Gold
The start of a new Fed rate cut cycle doesn’t necessarily lead to the “obvious” bullish reaction in the S&P 500 and DJIA that the “don’t fight the Fed” mantra would have you believe... read on to see the actual data!
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY: What 40+ Years of Fed Rate Cuts Tell Us About Trading Forex
Perhaps contrary to popular opinion, the start of a new Fed rate cut cycle has NOT been a consistent bearish catalyst for the US dollar. Read on to for more!
Gold Forecast: Commodity Deflation and Wall Street’s Short Positions
Read on to see how inflation and Fed policy could impact the price of commodities like gold this year!
Dollars and Sense: The Short-Term Case for US Dollar Strength
How interest rate differentials, scarcity, and falling liquidity could work together to boost the US dollar
NFP Preview: Why the US Dollar Could Be More Volatile Than Usual
The recent consolidation in the US Dollar Index and the Fed’s renewed data dependence could lead to a more-volatile-than-usual reaction in the US dollar.
FOMC Meeting Recap: Fed Chair Powell Deems March Rate Cut "Unlikely," Boosting Buck Toward YTD Highs
Powell pushes back against market pricing for a March rate hike - what's next for the Fed?
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Testing Key Support at 1.08 Ahead of Fed, NFP
EUR/USD is testing key support near 1.0800 with major crosswinds from month-end flows, the Fed, and NFP this week.
Nasdaq reaches new record high, a week ahead of FOMC: The Week Ahead
Love it or loathe it, the rally on US indices has been impressive. Traders seem to be focussed on lower yields, slightly reduced bets of multiple Fed cuts and any other morsel of what can be repackaged as ‘good news’. But can it withstand incoming GDP figures, a PCE inflation report and an FOMC meeting without a wobble?
NZD/USD breakdown a sign soft landing euphoria may have run its course?
As a high beta play on the global economy, the NZD/USD may be signaling downside risks are growing in other cyclical assets.
AUD/USD: Sticky domestic price pressures to collide with US disinflation narrative
The AUD/USD's global focus may pause temporarily later this week when Australia’s inflation indicator is released, containing a whole raft of new information on what’s happening with prices at the consumer level, especially for services.
Indices 2024 Fundamental Outlook Preview
With rate cuts set to begin in the United States and Europe at some point in 2024, there could be more wind behind the sails of risk-on trends in equities.
USD/JPY 2024 Fundamental Outlook Preview
Even though there is scope for yield spreads to widen again in 2024, the bias for USD/JPY remains moderately lower...
EUR/USD 2024 Fundamental Outlook Preview
Stronger US growth and similar inflation on both sides of the Atlantic could lead to more aggressive interest rate cuts from the ECB, boosting EUR/USD.
Central Bank 2024 Outlook Preview
Major central banks may switch gears in 2024 amid the weakening outlook for global growth accompanied by signs of slowing inflation.