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British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Hits 2024 Lows, Traders Continue to Sell Rallies
GBP/USD remains in “sell rallies” mode, so bullish readers will want to be nimble against a broader backdrop that favors more downside from here.
GBP/USD Analysis: Hot US CPI Drives Cable Back Below 1.2600 – Where Next?
The biggest economic data release of this week, and arguably the whole month – US CPI – didn’t disappoint in terms of its market impact.
NFP Preview: Another Hot Jobs Report on Tap? DXY in Focus
The US dollar is sitting in the middle of its 3-month range with leading indicators pointing toward slightly above expectation reading in this month’s NFP report, with headline job growth in the 200K-250K range.
British Pound Analysis: GBP/USD Trampolines off 1.2550 Support – Is 1.27 Next?
GBP/USD has bounced off key technical support at its rising trend line and 200-day MA in the mid-1.2500s, hinting at a potential retest of 1.2700 pending Friday’s NFP report...
Gold Analysis: XAU/USD Surges to Fresh Record Above $2250 – Where Next?
Gold’s technical outlook remains bullish above previous-resistance-turned-support near $2200 ahead of NFP on Friday
Fed Meeting Analysis: FOMC and Powell Still Looking For Excuses to Cut
Fed Chairman Powell sounded like someone who was looking for an excuse – any excuse – to cut interest rates in his press conference.
Gold analysis in focus as FOMC day arrives
Gold has been falling back in the past week and a half after hitting a record high at $2195. The key question is whether today’s FOMC policy decision will cause it to fall back even further, or will it trigger a fresh wave of buying that could propel the precious metal towards a new all-time high.
FOMC Meeting Preview: Deciphering the Dot Dilemma for the Fed
FOMC meeting risks are skewed toward a less dovish outcome, with the potential for the median Fed dot for 2024 to rise to 4.9%, or only two interest rate cuts for 2024.
USD/JPY analysis: BoJ and FOMC Meetings Key Focus in Financial Markets – Currency Pair of the Week
The USD/JPY will face a major test in the week ahead, with both the Bank of Japan and US Federal Reserve set to make monetary policy decisions a day apart. The USD/JPY has managed to recover strongly, rising from around 146.50 to above 149.00 in a few days. The recovery has been driven in part because of a rebound in bond yields a stronger dollar.
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Carves Out a Tight Range Ahead of US PPI and Retail Sales
US data will continue to play a major role for EUR/USD, with PPI and Retail Sales on tap tomorrow. See the key levels to watch!
US CPI Preview: GBP/USD Pulls Back to 1.2800 – Has US Inflation Bottomed?
GBP/USD remains in a bullish technical position ahead of the US CPI report - see what we're watching!
Gold Weekly Forecast: Will We Get a Pullback After XAU/USD’s Surge to Record Highs?
Gold is overbought on a short-term basis, but the long-term returns hint at more room to run higher from here...
NFP Preview: Is the US Dollar Poised for a Bounce Back?
After slipping for the past three weeks, the US Dollar Index is testing key previous support at the 103.00 level, potentially setting the stage for a bounce on solid jobs data.
Interest Rate Shock: What Happens If the Fed Hikes Instead of Cuts?
Traders are pricing in a small, but non-zero, chance of a Fed rate hike in 2024. Those odds could grow with a couple more hotter-than-expected inflation reports.
U.S. Dollar Post-CPI: EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, XAU/USD (Gold)
The U.S. Dollar broke out and set another fresh 2024 high this morning as the currency continues to claw back Q4 losses.
AUD/USD bulls battling against stubborn sellers into US CPI
AUD/USD hasn’t had much luck dealing with sellers layered above .6530 recently. 13 attempts on the four-hourly chart in less than a week to no avail, leaving it sandwiched in a tight range between minor uptrend support.
S&P 500, DJIA, Gold: How 40+ Years of Fed Rate Cuts Have Impacted Stock Markets and Gold
The start of a new Fed rate cut cycle doesn’t necessarily lead to the “obvious” bullish reaction in the S&P 500 and DJIA that the “don’t fight the Fed” mantra would have you believe... read on to see the actual data!
EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY: What 40+ Years of Fed Rate Cuts Tell Us About Trading Forex
Perhaps contrary to popular opinion, the start of a new Fed rate cut cycle has NOT been a consistent bearish catalyst for the US dollar. Read on to for more!
Gold Forecast: Commodity Deflation and Wall Street’s Short Positions
Read on to see how inflation and Fed policy could impact the price of commodities like gold this year!
Dollars and Sense: The Short-Term Case for US Dollar Strength
How interest rate differentials, scarcity, and falling liquidity could work together to boost the US dollar
NFP Preview: Why the US Dollar Could Be More Volatile Than Usual
The recent consolidation in the US Dollar Index and the Fed’s renewed data dependence could lead to a more-volatile-than-usual reaction in the US dollar.
FOMC Meeting Recap: Fed Chair Powell Deems March Rate Cut "Unlikely," Boosting Buck Toward YTD Highs
Powell pushes back against market pricing for a March rate hike - what's next for the Fed?
Euro Forecast: EUR/USD Testing Key Support at 1.08 Ahead of Fed, NFP
EUR/USD is testing key support near 1.0800 with major crosswinds from month-end flows, the Fed, and NFP this week.