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Nikkei 225 longs favoured into BOJ and Fed rate decisions, Nvidia GPU conference

Recent price action in Nikkei 225 futures points to upside risks this week, indicating confidence among traders that even with major events such as rate decisions from the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve, along with Nvidia’s GPU Technology Conference, the bull market that helped propel the underlying index to record highs is anything but finished.

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March 17, 2024 11:23 PM
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Big session for ASX bulls as uptrend support gives way

Friday looms as an important day on the directional risks for Australia’s ASX 200 with futures puncturing through uptrend support overnight dating back to when the Fed pivoted away from rate hikes in early November. Recent history suggests it may pay to wait to see whether the break sticks.

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March 14, 2024 10:07 PM
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Born of pessimism and now scepticism, Chinese stocks are on the cusp of bull markets

Bull markets are born on pessimism, grown on scepticism, mature on optimism, and die on euphoria. The stealth rally in China's A50 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng is keeping to the script.

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March 13, 2024 01:30 AM

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Soft US CPI amplifies downside risk for US yields, USD/JPY and Nikkei

USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 futures have been heavily influenced by US bond yields recently, meaning Tuesday’s US consumer price inflation report looms as critical for how Japanese markets may fare over the short to medium term. The bias for all remains lower in the absence of another hot inflation number.

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March 12, 2024 02:34 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei 225: Downside ducks lining up as US bonds go bid

Where US long bond yields have moved in 2023, USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 have tended to follow. Right now, the risks for each are building to the downside.

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March 7, 2024 02:15 AM

Nasdaq 100, AAPL Forecast: Can NDX Extend Its Rally without Apple?

The Nasdaq 100 ostensibly digested yesterday’s dip well, potentially setting the stage for a continuation to new all-time highs, but…

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March 6, 2024 07:50 PM
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Lows may be in for Chinese stocks as bear market downtrends give way

The bear market in Chinese equities may be coming a state-endorsed end with A50 futures breaking the downtrend dating back to early 2021 earlier this week. The 200-day moving average may be the next bearish indicator to give way, bolstering the view that the lows may have already been seen.

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March 6, 2024 05:47 AM
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Reddit IPO: Everything you need to know about Reddit

Find out everything we know about the Reddit IPO including the date, valuation and how to trade Reddit stock.

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February 27, 2024 06:03 PM
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Hang Seng, China A50 seeking fresh bullish catalysts to power market recovery

China’s state-endorsed equity market recovery continues to go from strength to strength, building upon a lengthy and growing list of measures being rolled out by policymakers designed to coerce traders into buying. Perhaps the broader bear market trend may be coming to an end?

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February 22, 2024 01:21 AM
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Ducks have lined up for Nikkei 225 to test its 1989 high

If there was ever a day for Japan’s Nikkei 225 to overcome its demons and take out the record high set in December 1989, few screen better than today. The ducks look to have lined up for bulls. If we can’t set a new peak, it may provide a subtle warning that the market has run too hard, too fast.

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February 21, 2024 10:54 PM
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AUD/USD, ASX 200 rapid rebound gathers pace despite warning from rates markets

Despite lacklustre corporate earnings and rebound in US bond yields, the spectacular rally in AUD/USD and Australia’s ASX 200 only gathered pace in the second half of Thursday’s trading session, leaving both markets eyeing off potential topside breaks.

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February 15, 2024 11:33 PM
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AUD/USD, ASX 200: Employment slowdown a seasonal swoon or start of something sinister?

Australia’s labour market is undeniably slowing, bringing the prospect of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) leapfrogging the US Federal Reserve when it comes to which central bank will cut interest rates first.

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February 15, 2024 01:42 AM
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Australia’s ASX 200 vulnerable on shakeout of soft-landing bets

Having been a major benefactor from the soft-landing narrative, the combination of higher global interest rates and stretched valuations has Australia’s ASX 200 index under pressure.

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February 14, 2024 02:44 AM
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Hang Seng’s suspect price action at odds with bullish narratives

Hang Seng futures don’t look like they’re about to embark on a face-ripping rally, no matter how cheap valuations are and no matter how much government encouragement is doled out.

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February 8, 2024 01:01 AM
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AUD/USD, ASX 200 rebound on China market surge, not RBA

The RBA continues to see the risk that rates may increase again despite delivering updated forecasts showing faster progress in bringing inflation back to within its target band. For AUD/USD traders, there was more interest in the rally in Chinese stocks and currency than what the bank had to say.

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February 6, 2024 06:14 AM
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China’s stock market rescue brings in reinforcements

China’s “National Team”, the nickname given to state-backed entities tasked with rescuing markets, are doubling their efforts, upping purchases of exchange-traded funds (ETFs) while restricting certain undesirable activities detrimental to stock prices. So far, indices such as the A50 are rallying.

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February 6, 2024 02:57 AM
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USD/JPY and Nikkei 225 vulnerable should yield differentials continue to compress

Bond yields, especially in the United States given the US dollar’s role as the global reserve currency, are perhaps more important to Japan than many other parts of the world.

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February 1, 2024 04:48 AM

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AUD/USD trading soggy as markets ramp up June RBA rate cut bets

Australian overnight index swaps (OIS) markets are fully priced for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to cut its overnight cash rate by 25 basis points in June to 4.1%, adding pressure on AUD/USD following the release of a softer-than-expected Australian consumer price inflation (CPI) report on Wednesday.

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January 31, 2024 11:35 PM
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AUD/USD, ASX 200 bulls unfazed by retail sales slump

AUD/USD and the ASX 200 have ignored a larger-than-expected slump in Australian retail sales in December, adding to earlier gains in the wake of the release.

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January 30, 2024 01:51 AM
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USD/JPY, Nikkei trading heavy as news flow bolsters case for BOJ rate hike

Japan has received a raft of bullish economic news today, sending Japanese government bond yields higher while simultaneously placing downward pressure on USD/JPY and the Nikkei 225.

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January 24, 2024 05:41 AM
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Hang Seng, China A50 and CNH need sustained rally to turn bearish China narrative around

There is a real confidence problem right now towards China. And while the underlying reasons are complex, the easiest way to change the prevailing bearish narrative is for the price action to turnaround. Price leads narrative.

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January 24, 2024 02:16 AM
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ASX 200 priced for perfection nearing tricky technical test

Australia’s ASX 200 is rallying for a fourth session on the back of big gains in banks, healthcare and record highs on Wall Street, seeing it approach what some may declare to be a “death zone” for bulls based on price action of recent years.

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January 23, 2024 01:22 AM
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ASX 200, AUD/JPY bouncing back with improved risk appetite

With risk appetite back in full swing and market indicators on US recession risk providing a green light for the soft landing narrative, cyclicals such as Australia’s ASX 200 and AUD/JPY recovered last week, returning to the uptrend they’ve been in since the risk rival revival took hold in late October.

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January 22, 2024 12:44 AM