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DAX, EUR/USD outlook: Lagarde likely to opt for "higher for longer" narrative
The EUR/USD outlook hinges on the two major central bank decisions in as many days. First up, the Fed must decide whether to signal a pause for September after a likely 25 basis point rate hike on Wednesday, a signal that could have a major impact on the direction of the dollar. Once we know that, then all eyes will be on the ECB on Thursday. The latter could revert back to data-dependency, something which the markets have been pricing in with the EUR/USD falling over the past week and a half.
EUR/USD outlook: ECB could deliver hawkish surprise - preview
The EUR/USD outlook is clearly going to change this week with both the Fed and ECB rate decisions to come ahead of US non-farm payrolls report on Friday. The stickiness of Eurozone inflation means there is a greater risk for a hawkish surprise.
ECB interest rate rise: Supersize or jumbo?
ECB preview: The big question this month is not if the ECB will hike but whether it be by 50 or 75 basis points?
EUR/CHF set for breakout as focus turns to ECB
It is all about whether the ECB will follow other central banks in signalling a 50-basis point hike, or a more standard 25 for July.
Get ready for the ECB to hike rates (just not tomorrow)
The ECB are set to announce their monetary policy decision tomorrow, where the focus will be on forward guidance for rates from July onwards.
European Open: ECB Meeting and US GDP in Focus
With an ECB meeting and advanced read of Q3 GDP for the US up next, EUR/USD remains a pair to look at for any volatile reactions.
ECB: Guessing Mario Draghi’s next move
The market can return to one of its favourite games later today: guessing what Mario Draghi can say to either talk up or talk down the euro. The ECB decision will be released at 1245 BST, with the press conference starting at 1330 BST. We don’t expect any change to policy, which makes the latter event more important from a market perspective.
ECB Preview: Will Saint Draghi bring a present to expectant bears?
‘Twas the night before Draghi, when all through the market Not a trader was trading; they were waiting for their targets The trading plans were […]
ECB Preview: Will Draghi be dovish enough for EUR/JPY?
My wife’s grandfather lives alone. That probably seems like an unusual way to begin an article about European monetary policy and EUR/JPY, but bear with […]