Core PCE
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US Core PCE Preview: USD/JPY Flirts with 155 Ahead of Key US Inflation Report
Diverging interest rate expectations between the Federal Reserve and the rest of the developed world have been THE biggest story of the year for FX traders (USD/JPY in particular), and Friday’s Core PCE report will be the next major test to determine if that trend will carry over into Q2
EUR/USD forecast: Bullish trend intact as key data eyed
The divergence in monetary policy between the Fed and ECB is likely to support the bullish EUR/USD forecast
US Core PCE comes in stronger than expected; US Dollar bid
With the US Core PCE for January hotter than expected, the US Dollar is continuing its recent rise.
Core PCE unlikely to sway Fed next week
The December Core PCE print was in-line with expectations. Therefore, markets remain comfortable with pricing in the 98% chance of a 25bps rate hike on Wednesday.
US data dump provides little new info for the Fed
Although Durable Goods was stronger than expected, there is little to take from the other data points, as it was from so long ago.
What does it mean for the Fed if Core PCE comes out weaker than expected?
If the print is “as expected”, will this be enough of a drop for the Fed to leave rates unchanged at its February meeting?
US Core PCE lower in September; USD continues lower
If Core PCE continues to fall over the coming months, the Fed may end up hiking rates less than it expects, or even cutting rates before the end of next year.
US Core PCE and ECI as expected. What does it mean for the FOMC next week?
Will the Fed consider an ECI reading of 1.2% to be “uncomfortably higher”? Also, the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation is back up to levels not seen since March.
US Core PCE and ECI as expected. What does it mean for the FOMC next week?
Will the Fed consider an ECI reading of 1.2% to be “uncomfortably higher”? Also, the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation is back up to levels not seen since March.
US Core PCE follows EU CPI higher
Markets are pricing in a 75bps rate hike for both central banks. However, the meetings not until the end of October and there is still a lot of data which can change rate hike expectations
ECI and PCE are hot for June. What does it mean for the Fed?
Today’s inflation data was higher than expected and the Fed is walking a thin line between lowering inflation and pushing growth lower.
Core PCE not as bad as feared. But how much does it matter?
It probably won’t matter in isolation, as the Fed is now looking at a number of inflation data points to help determine the next direction for inflation in the US.
Core PCE: Still the Fed’s favorite measure of inflation?
US Core PCE is due out this week and if it is similar to other recent inflation data, it may be stronger than expected.
Core PCE still strong, but weaker than March
Although one reading isn’t considered a trend,it may be suggesting that inflation has plateaued.
Core PCE levels off, but the ECI may have the Fed more concerned
Although the Core PCE may have eased slightly, it is still a cause for concern for the Fed at such an elevated level.
US Core PCE continues to rise; puts more pressure on Fed
As the Fed continues to catch up with the rest of the markets in realizing that inflation is indeed high, it now has another data point to refer to, Core PCE.
US Core PCE still hot; Is 50 bps in the cards?
The Fed's favorite measure of inflation (Core PCE) was 5.2% YoY vs and expectation of 5% YoY and 4.9% YoY in December.
US Core PCE preview: The Fed’s interest rate decision hangs in the balance
Friday’s release is likely to lead to market volatility as market participants adjust to arguably the most important data release ahead of the Fed’s expected liftoff...
Core PCE higher than expected; Fed also paying close attention to ECI
There' s a new sheriff in town that the Fed is focusing on: ECI (Employment Cost Index).
Core PCE comes in much hotter than the Fed would like!
The Fed's favorite measure of inflation is more than double what they would like!
Inflation, Inflation, Inflation
As inflation data continues to remain excessively high in the around the world, central banks are struggling to justify that a majority of the inflation is transitory
Post-Easter US data paints a downbeat outlook for near-term growth
It’s been an exceedingly slow start to the week with most of Europe out of the office for an extended holiday weekend, but trade is […]
FOMC Recap: Doves flying high as Fed drops two dots
As we noted in yesterday’s FOMC Preview report, any Fed fireworks wouldn’t come from the monetary policy decision per se, but rather how today’s meeting […]