Ready for a Breakout?: EUR/AUD
Joe Perry October 23, 2020 3:36 PM
EUR/AUD has potential for a large upside move on a daily timeframe.
Next week the ECB meets, and economists feel they will likely keep stimulus “unchanged” while they wait for staff projections at the December meeting. Meanwhile, the RBA recently suggested that they are ready to buy longer term bonds and provide more QE now. What does this potentially mean for EUR/AUD?
Source: Tradingview, City Index
The pair has been trading in a sideway channel since early June between 1.6033 and 1.6592, as it had pulled back from the overbought levels after the coronavirus outbreak In March. However, on Monday, the pair broke out and closed about the channel and right at the 200 Day Moving Average near 1.6635. The pair traded to a high of 1.6827, before pulling back and trapping weak longs, printing a low today of 1.6553 (back in the channel and currently oscillating around the 200 Day Moving Average.
Source: Tradingview, City Index
Savoy traders may have looked at a 240-minute time frame and seen the completion of a flag pattern near the lows of the pullback, as well as horizontal support, and went long. However, there are still opportunities to enter long positions for those traders who feel this pullback was just a correction, and near the beginning of a longer rising trend. EUD/AUD is currently trading near short-term horizontal resistance near 1.6650. A close above this level may give bulls an opportunity to enter, looking for a larger move on the daily timeframe. Next resistance is at the top of the flag near 1.6712 and they the recent highs at 1.6827. Their resistance (and possible initial target) is the early May highs near 1.7200. First support (and possible stop level) is at 1.6553 and then Monday’s low at 1.6485.
EUR/AUD has potential for a large upside move on a daily timeframe. Proper risk management will help to minimize losses if the pair heads lower.
GAIN Capital UK Limited (trading as “City Index”) is an execution-only service provider. This material, whether or not it states any opinions, is for general information purposes only and it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. This material has been prepared using the thoughts and opinions of the author and these may change. However, City Index does not plan to provide further updates to any material once published and it is not under any obligation to keep this material up to date. This material is short term in nature and may only relate to facts and circumstances existing at a specific time or day. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment, legal, tax or other advice and no reliance should be placed on it.
No opinion given in this material constitutes a recommendation by City Index or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although City Index is not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, City Index does not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination. This material is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.