The FTSE is opening on the front foot, adding to yesterday’s impressive gains after upbeat risk sentiment and a sliding Pound helped lift the index 2.3%. Sentiment looks set to remain steady for now, although the real test will be when US cash markets open after the long weekend.
The Pound is adding to yesterday’s Brexit inspired losses as the 8th round of Brexit trade talks are due to kick off in London. Boris Johnson continues to attempt to inject some sort of urgency into the talks which have made little progress in months. The PM’s threat that if no progress is made, no deal preparations will be ramped up, come following yesterday’s new deadline for a deal – 15th October and as the government plans to override parts of the Brexit divorce treaty. Boris appears to be pushing the EU to its limits in last chance saloon. However, given the EU’s warning that the UK mustn’t hamper with the Brexit deal, these talks appear to be unraveling before they have even started.
The Pound is extending losses trading at a two-week low a light economic calendar could keep the bears firmly in control. $1.31 is clearly in target now, whilst unfavourable Brexit headlines across this week could see sterling losses ramp and $1.30 become a very real target. A weaker Pound is beneficial for the multinationals on the FTSE so we could finally see the UK index play catch up with its peers that it has trailed behind since the mid March recovery.
Demand concerns hit oil
Oil can’t shake off demand concerns, particularly as US driving seasons comes to an end It’s refocusing the market on demand expectations, just US covid cases are on the rise again in the US. Data showed that coronavirus cases rose in 22 states over the Labor Day public holiday weekend, cases are also climbing sharply in the UK and in mainland Europe raising fears that oil demand will stay lacklustre for longer. Quite simply people won’t look towards extended travel is coronavirus cases are surging again. WTI fell 1.9% overnight striking and trades at $39.0.
With oil trading lower USD/CAD is a touch softer, although holding above 1.31 as the BoC meeting tomorrow also draws into focus.
Euro lifted by mixed German trade data
Mixed trade data from Germany has been enough to reverse earlier losses in the Euro and push EURUSD back over $1.18. Whilst imports increased an anaemic 1.1%, German exports jumped +4.7% mom, after a 14.7% rise in June. Another surge in exports is boosting optimism surrounding a strong GDP rebound. Eurozone GDP will move into focus
GAIN Capital UK Limited (trading as “City Index”) is an execution-only service provider. This material, whether or not it states any opinions, is for general information purposes only and it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. This material has been prepared using the thoughts and opinions of the author and these may change. However, City Index does not plan to provide further updates to any material once published and it is not under any obligation to keep this material up to date. This material is short term in nature and may only relate to facts and circumstances existing at a specific time or day. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment, legal, tax or other advice and no reliance should be placed on it.
No opinion given in this material constitutes a recommendation by City Index or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although City Index is not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, City Index does not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination. This material is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.