EUR/USD Gains On ZEW Data, Trade, Ahead of FOMC

EUR/USD is edging higher versus the US dollar following better than forecast ZEW Sentiment data, easing trade tensions and as investors look to FOMC.

The euro is edging higher versus the US dollar following better than forecast ZEW Sentiment data. German investor sentiment improved to the strongest level in two years. The brighter outlook comes amid hopes that trade tensions are slowly easing, and that the US will avoid a disorderly Brexit from the EU. 

Encouraging sentiment data comes following unexpectedly strong German export data on Monday and increasing signs that the German economy could narrowly avoid a contraction in the final quarter of the year, after avoiding a recession in the third quarter. Germany is by no means out of the woods. However, there are signs that Europe’s largest economy could be in the brink of turning around.

Dollar eases on improved risk, FOMC Ahead
The dollar slipped lower as risk improved on rumours that the US will not hike trade tariffs on Chinese imports on 15th December. This can only mean that the two sides are close to a phase one deal, surely?

Investors will now look ahead to the FOMC rate announcement tomorrow. After cutting interest rates three times in 2019, policy makers are of the impression that they have done enough to stabilise the economy. Given the resilience in the labour market and the calm in the markets now compare to four months ago, then this assumption could well be spot on. With no change in monetary policy expected, traders will focus on the dot plot and Jeremy Powell’s press conference.

Levels to watch
EUR/USD trade above its 50, 100 and 200 sma, a bullish chart.  Resistance can be seen at $1.1094, $1.1115 prior to $1.1140.
Support can be seen at £1.1040, $1.1015 before $1.10. We would be looking for a break below $1.1040 to negate the current bullish trend.

Build your confidence risk free
Join our live webinars for the latest analysis and trading ideas. Register now

StoneX Financial Ltd (trading as “City Index”) is an execution-only service provider. This material, whether or not it states any opinions, is for general information purposes only and it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. This material has been prepared using the thoughts and opinions of the author and these may change. However, City Index does not plan to provide further updates to any material once published and it is not under any obligation to keep this material up to date. This material is short term in nature and may only relate to facts and circumstances existing at a specific time or day. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment, legal, tax or other advice and no reliance should be placed on it.

No opinion given in this material constitutes a recommendation by City Index or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although City Index is not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, City Index does not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination. This material is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

For further details see our full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.