EU CPI estimate due to set the tone
City Index September 30, 2014 2:16 PM
<p>The Asian session was active again last night with lots of data releases in Japan, Australia, New Zealand and China. Main reactions have been for […]</p>
The Asian session was active again last night with lots of data releases in Japan, Australia, New Zealand and China. Main reactions have been for the AUD and NZD after having big falls yesterday mainly due to the intervention from the RBNZ. They have gained around 50 points back based on decent China factory activity staying in the expansion territory above the 50 level.
The JPY gained some more since yesterday’s move, with USD/JPY now trading 109.30 after industrial production was a disappointment to the economy. We are still yet to break the 110.00, which we will likely see if we can break recent highs of 109.74.
Tonight there is more important data due out from Asian countries, mainly the Chinese manufacturing PMI expected at no change at 51.1, and Aussie retail sales expected to have no change at 0.4%.
The euro has been subdued of late in a range of 1.2662 – 1.2716, I would look for a break of these to see a direction forming again. Data out today could have the effect it needs to do that, with German unemployment due out as -2k from 2k previous and EU CPI flash estimate y/y due out as 0.3% from 0.4%, looking to put more pressure on the ECB and its actions it will take with the upcoming ECB meeting.
The pound has started strong today with an early push up to 1.6270, even with disappointments in consumer confidence and nationwide housing prices both down. The bigger data releases are yet to come at 9:30am today with the current account at an expected better rate of -16.9b from -18.5b, and GDP q/q set to be the same as last at 0.8%.
Other important data due out is from Canada with the GDP m/m data expected at 0.2% down from 0.3% previous. The US Consumer confidence expected at 92.2 from 92.4.
Supports 1.660-1.2625-1.2500 | Resistance 1.2716-1.2773-1.2842
Supports 109.19-108.44-108.24 | Resistance 109.74-109.95
Supports 1.6220-1.6160-1.6055 | Resistance 1.6273-1.6341-1.6415
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