Equity Brief: Half-hearted bulls take control

It’s a lacklustre tug of war between index bulls and bears and Friday

Stock market snapshot as of [19/7/2019 2:47 PM]

  • It’s a lacklustre tug of war between index bulls and bears and Friday, as the main gauges dither a few tenths of a percentage point over the flat line. They last stood a little higher
  • Familiar frets strum out a familiar tune as Europe’s all-country STOXX 600 remains hamstrung by everything from resistance last tested in April, frequent data undershoots (on Friday it was Germany’s PPI) and earnings that do little to contradict pessimistic estimates
  • At least anxieties over whether the pressure is coming off the Fed and the ECB to move quickly and aggressively with rate cuts, is fading. Even then, doubts remain. Two Fed officials have essentially contradicted each other in the space of a few minutes, albeit ultra-dovish comments by New York Fed President John Williams have mostly prevailed on Friday. This has contained the dollar and buffed interest in silver and gold
  • ECB prospects also look less equivocal as economists assess the downward spiral of Eurozone readings in light of comments by the central bank’s president Mario Draghi. He said in last month that he’s ready to add stimulus if the economic outlook doesn’t improve. Consensus forecasts now point to a 10-basis point deposit rate cut to a record-low minus 0.5%, though not at next week’s ECB policy meeting. Strong hints will be the likely outcome instead
  • Wall Street indices open a tad higher than the Continent’s, rising 0.3% to 0.5% so far

Corporate News

  • Non-earnings-related corporate news is another positive distraction on the northern side of the Atlantic. Swedish/Swiss ABB’s China unit plans to sell stakes in two JVs. ABB grinds higher in Zurich, taking machinery peers with it
  • Anglo/German tourism firm TUI also stands out, with a 6.4% gain offering much-needed relief to the travel & leisure sector. The €4.7bn group is seen as a beneficiary of Boeing 737 Max compensation. Travel-industry data showing improving demand in the UK and Germany also helps
  • JC Penney, BlackRock and Microsoft are in focus among U.S. heavyweights. Retailer JCP is reportedly corralling investments banks as it readies a large-scale debt restructuring. The stock tanks 10%. Asset manager BlackRock missed estimates though its shares rose 1% on promising active management and software licensing fees
  • Boeing bounces back by 2% from  a slide on Thursday that followed its pre-announcement of a $5bn hit related to its 737 Max


Upcoming corporate highlights

BMO: before market open

Upcoming economic highlights


Build your confidence risk free
Join our live webinars for the latest analysis and trading ideas. Register now

StoneX Financial Ltd (trading as “City Index”) is an execution-only service provider. This material, whether or not it states any opinions, is for general information purposes only and it does not take into account your personal circumstances or objectives. This material has been prepared using the thoughts and opinions of the author and these may change. However, City Index does not plan to provide further updates to any material once published and it is not under any obligation to keep this material up to date. This material is short term in nature and may only relate to facts and circumstances existing at a specific time or day. Nothing in this material is (or should be considered to be) financial, investment, legal, tax or other advice and no reliance should be placed on it.

No opinion given in this material constitutes a recommendation by City Index or the author that any particular investment, security, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. The material has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Although City Index is not specifically prevented from dealing before providing this material, City Index does not seek to take advantage of the material prior to its dissemination. This material is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

For further details see our full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.