Trade Balance figures from Europe, UK and the US

August 9, 2012 8:00 am by

EUR USD

EUR/USD

Range: 1.2325-1.2450
Support: 1.2300
Resistance: 1.2450

Euro was confined to range trading throughout the New York and Asian session, drifting between 1.2345 and 1.2385. Today we’ll see the release of the ECB’s Monthly Bulletin as well as Italian trade balance figures, expected to show further contraction of Italian balance of payments. The figures are out at 9am and are expected to come in at 0.97bn.

 

 

GBP USD

GBP/USD

Range: 1.5500 – 1.5800
Support: 1.5530
Resistance: 1.5730

Overall the BoE Inflation Report signalled contentment with current BoE policy expectations, with no view to boost expectations of further policy easing. CPI projection was maintained at around 1.6% and GBP forecast lowered to 2%. The report highlighted concern about the impact on building societies following a cut in the bank rate, a contributing factor towards the MPC’s decision not to cut rates so far, also noting the Euro area to pose the greatest risk to UK outlook. 9.30am marks the release of UK Trade Balance figures. July’s data exceeded expectations at -8.4bn, however, we’re expecting a marginal decrease to -8.5bn.

 

 

AUD USD

AUD/USD

Range: 1.0550-1.0650
Support: 1.0585
Resistance: 1.0625

Overnight, AUD employment data proved better than expected, with 14k more people in employment during July and unemployment falling to 5.2%. The strong payroll data fuelled speculation that the RBA may refrain from cutting interest rates in the short term. Consequently, we saw AUD gain steadily to 1.0600.

Trade Balance figures from Europe, UK and the US
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